Any thoughts on the future, or not, of Ryanair and Easyjet? The next to go?
I would have thought that one of the reasons that these package holiday companies are having a tough time is that more and more people are organising their trips themselves.
With the internet it is so easy to book flights, accomodation, car hire yourself, so why use a company like Thomas Cook?
So maybe it's not that people aren't travelling, they are just doing things differently.
Very much this
JMC, and subsequently Thomas Cook, had all the shitty markets sown up... Egypt went from two holiday airports to five in a couple of years, and TC operated in all of the new resorts, likewise Turkey and Tunisia. Longhaul the same... Maldives, Dominican Republic and Cancun.
As long as EasyJet don't go long haul they will be fine... It doesn't fit their business model.
Ryanair shouldn't exist (it's a horrible product) but continues to do very well by virtue of being proactive... If a flight looks to lose money, it gets canned and everyone bumped onto different flights to fill them up.
The next big hurdle is the B737 Max issue as the current 737 fleets are starting to age and a lot of airlines, including TUI are starting to get antsy about the delays... The first aircraft had been delivered and was being operated in Europe long before the Ethiopian crash.
The repatriation efforts are mammoth, and only conceivable because it's late in the season but still won't be helped by Norwegian hogging all the larger charter aircraft to bolster their Dreamliner operation