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Author Topic: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?  (Read 5339 times)

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ronnyd

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #15 on: 15 October 2017, 17:15:06 »

I bet that avid weather watchers are creaming in their underpants. ;D  :o
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Olympia5776

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #16 on: 15 October 2017, 17:22:20 »

Hi Doc

Orphelia is not a normal hurricane

Normal hurricanes get their energy from warm water below. If warm water is missing, they die out. Orphelia will find another source of energy. She will cross the polarjet. The jet devides suptropical conditions in the south from suppolar conditions in the north.

Hurricanes generally are filled with warm wet air, typically -10...0°C in 500 hPa (5000 m). North of the jet Orphelia will find -25°C . So the warm air wet will rise like a giant balloon into the cold air and Orphelia will convert to a "normal" Atlantic cyclone.

In North America this process will last a few days, Orphelia will do it in a few minutes. It looks more than a giant thunderstorm than a cyclone conversion. I fear about local excessive rainfall and strong downbusting winds.

Monday morning the polarjet is located exactly over Ireland southwest to northeast. Tropical Orphelia will meet polar conditions near the southwest coast. I hope over sea. Orphelia has nne direction, the jet runs sw to ne.

But no one exactly knows what will happen, because such an event was never observed in detail before.

Rolf

Well if rainfall is to be the real worry then that's a good thing ... 'cause I'm on the side of a mountain so if I get flooded you're all dead . :)
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Zirfeld

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #17 on: 15 October 2017, 18:56:18 »

Hi ronnyd

I am a northern man from the North Sea strand. 12 BFT is not a real problem  ;)
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henryd

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #18 on: 16 October 2017, 09:07:37 »

getting pretty windy here in west Cornwall ::)
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Kevin Wood

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #19 on: 16 October 2017, 09:15:37 »

Calm as a mill pond here and was 16.5 Deg. C this morning when I left. :o
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henryd

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #20 on: 16 October 2017, 12:07:20 »

Calm as a mill pond here and was 16.5 Deg. C this morning when I left. :o

warm and sunny here too,just blowing a hoolie :D
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TD

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #21 on: 16 October 2017, 13:40:53 »

Its a bit windy here....and theres a eerie orange glow...the sun through the clouds looks orange.

Apparently its the dust picked up in Africa thats circulating above use that making it like that....
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aaronjb

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #22 on: 16 October 2017, 13:47:58 »

Its a bit windy here....and theres a eerie orange glow...the sun through the clouds looks orange.

Apparently its the dust picked up in Africa thats circulating above use that making it like that....

Same here - in fact it looks a lot like a scene from the recent Bladerunner sequel outside with everything bathed in a brassy orange coloured light.
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tigers_gonads

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #23 on: 16 October 2017, 13:55:04 »

Its a bit weird around here at the moment.
Cloudy but the sun is trying to break out.
A little windy but the really weird thing is how warm it is outside.
Sat in the house with a work shirt on.
Just been outside and it was like getting off a holiday plane at the airport.
My goggles even steamed up  ;D
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redelitev6

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #24 on: 16 October 2017, 14:53:00 »

 ??? What bad weather ? barely a breeze here in Newcastle ,although it did get VERY dark here about an hour ago .
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Zirfeld

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #25 on: 16 October 2017, 15:29:15 »

Global Forecast System says, that another (tropical? ) storm will develop west of the Azores on Thursday. It will became rapidly stronger and will drift eastwards very fast. Center pressure will be 965 hPa o Sunday. Track unsure... 
« Last Edit: 16 October 2017, 15:39:31 by Zirfeld »
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neil74

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #26 on: 16 October 2017, 15:53:30 »

Its blowing a fair bit here too. and what with poxy scaffolding and loose roof tiles thanks to the cuddy morons earlier it has me a little worried. and we also caught the orange sun and the dust all over the cars.
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omegod

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #27 on: 16 October 2017, 16:18:51 »

Getting a bit blowy here and the odd branch snapped off
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Kevin Wood

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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #28 on: 16 October 2017, 16:20:27 »

OMG! I can even see the leaves moving on the trees outside now. :o

<retreats to makeshift shelter>
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Re: Will Hurricane Orphelia hit Ireland?
« Reply #29 on: 16 October 2017, 16:24:04 »

I'm sure we will get used to lots of weird coloured sky's and radiation effects once Trump & DPRK start throwing instant sunshine at each other. ::) ::) ::) Remember that DPRK is in the Northern Hemisphere about level with Spain. :o :o :o
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