Hi Doc
Orphelia is not a normal hurricane
Normal hurricanes get their energy from warm water below. If warm water is missing, they die out. Orphelia will find another source of energy. She will cross the polarjet. The jet devides suptropical conditions in the south from suppolar conditions in the north.
Hurricanes generally are filled with warm wet air, typically -10...0°C in 500 hPa (5000 m). North of the jet Orphelia will find -25°C . So the warm air wet will rise like a giant balloon into the cold air and Orphelia will convert to a "normal" Atlantic cyclone.
In North America this process will last a few days, Orphelia will do it in a few minutes. It looks more than a giant thunderstorm than a cyclone conversion. I fear about local excessive rainfall and strong downbusting winds.
Monday morning the polarjet is located exactly over Ireland southwest to northeast. Tropical Orphelia will meet polar conditions near the southwest coast. I hope over sea. Orphelia has nne direction, the jet runs sw to ne.
But no one exactly knows what will happen, because such an event was never observed in detail before.
Rolf