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[Sir Tigger KC]

Anti government protests are spreading across Iran and have become violent in places with fatalities. 

How do the OOF commentariat see this one panning out?    A Syria type civil war or a bloody, brutal government crackdown? 

[STEMO]

If the ayatollah lets the revolutionary guard loose on the protesters, the latter.

[ronnyd]

The Revolutionary Guard have already promised to crack down hard on dissidents. Just a case of how loyal they remain to the Ayatollahs. The World,s turning to sh*t.

[STEMO]

The Revolutionary Guard have already promised to crack down hard on dissidents. Just a case of how loyal they remain to the Ayatollahs. The World,s turning to sh*t.

The revolutionary guard would have no power without the ayatollah, they are his private army.

[Varche]

I dont thnk the protesters have a leader

so-all

they can hope for is a softening of the governments approach.

Presumably another example of the Internet showing people how things could be. Even with censorship that exists in N. Korea, you have to wonder at the strength of anti government feeling thatmust exist but currently darent be expressed.

Back to Iran. Youhave to wonder what happened to the woman that removed her head gear, waved it around and stamped on it.

[Shackeng]

The Revolutionary Guard have already promised to crack down hard on dissidents. Just a case of how loyal they remain to the Ayatollahs. The World,s turning to sh*t.

The revolutionary guard would have no power without the ayatollah, they are his private army.

The reverse was the case shortly after the revolution, and the guards were in charge. I was operating a Tristar service out of Tehran not long after they took over, and a scuffle broke out on the ground outside the A/C shortly before departure, between one of the guards and a Tehran BA staff member who was traveling out with his family. The situation calmed somewhat and we departed with the BA member and family on board. Shortly after we reached cruise altitude, Iranian air traffic control told us to return to Tehran. After fudging it for a few minutes, having discussed it amongst the flight deck crew, and bearing in mind the highly volatile situation in Iran, and given our considerable distance to the border, and the fact that we probably couldn't outrun a missile, we complied. We were told that the guards had demanded our return. We were allowed to depart again as soon as the BA member was offloaded. I believe he was released a few days later.

[STEMO]

That’s probably still the case now, Chris. What I meant to say was that the revolutionary guard will follow the religious leaders, not the president. If Rouhani decided to take a softer line, he would be told to tow the line, or face being accused of all kinds of heresy.

[redelitev6]

Conflict in the middle east ? surely not 

[Shackeng]

That’s probably still the case now, Chris. What I meant to say was that the revolutionary guard will follow the religious leaders, not the president. If Rouhani decided to take a softer line, he would be told to tow the line, or face being accused of all kinds of heresy.

 

[Rods2]

If all the global arms suppliers keep supplying plenty of arms in return for oil $$$, I'm sure the Shia & Sunni Muslims will sort out their unresolvable differences and total hate for each other one way or another.

[STEMO]

If all the global arms suppliers keep supplying plenty of arms in return for oil $$$, I'm sure the Shia & Sunni Muslims will sort out their unresolvable differences and total hate for each other one way or another.

That would be a very agreeable solution, if only the rest of the world left them to it. But they won’t......

[ronnyd]

The Revolutionary Guard have already promised to crack down hard on dissidents. Just a case of how loyal they remain to the Ayatollahs. The World,s turning to sh*t.

The revolutionary guard would have no power without the ayatollah, they are his private army.

The Iraqi version soon dropped Saddam. Then again, there was massive outside interference 

[TheBoy]

If all the global arms suppliers keep supplying plenty of arms in return for oil $$$, I'm sure the Shia & Sunni Muslims will sort out their unresolvable differences and total hate for each other one way or another.

That would be a very agreeable solution, if only the rest of the world left them to it. But they won’t......

If we send the interfering do-gooders over there (and no ponce around the woman currently held in prison), we can solve multiple issues quickly.

[STEMO]

The Revolutionary Guard have already promised to crack down hard on dissidents. Just a case of how loyal they remain to the Ayatollahs. The World,s turning to sh*t.

The revolutionary guard would have no power without the ayatollah, they are his private army.

The Iraqi version soon dropped Saddam. Then again, there was massive outside interference 

The Iraqi version followed President Saddam, he was not a religious leader.

[ronnyd]

The Revolutionary Guard have already promised to crack down hard on dissidents. Just a case of how loyal they remain to the Ayatollahs. The World,s turning to sh*t.

The revolutionary guard would have no power without the ayatollah, they are his private army.

The Iraqi version soon dropped Saddam. Then again, there was massive outside interference 

The Iraqi version followed President Saddam, he was not a religious leader.

True.