I note flights seem quite expensive this year, for the usual holiday destinations. Pretty much anything for the Greek islands seems to be around £450 return, by the time cabin bags are on.
I half heartedly considered booking a package, and just not bothering turning up at their accommodation, as that seems to work out about the same, lol.
The two points you make are linked.
Part of the business I work for is travel agent/package tour ops so we get reasonable market insight on the supply side. The big package operators have booked a lot of capacity for 2026 - betting on pent up demand for holidays ppl didn't take in '25 (and a bit in '24), due to our government's budget sh!tshows and wokists not wanting to travel to Trumpland.
This is why you're seeing a lot of 'secure your booking for only £x pp' offers at the moment as operators need to get bums on seats and cover the deposits they've shelled out to airlines and accommodation owners.
This has made schedule seats more expensive than normal as availability is already down. If you're planning to travel the smart move is to book a package with as low a deposit as you can as current deals are fairly good, but you may find that they get a lot better around May/June if demand doesn't materialise and the big operators start sh!tting bricks. Assuming you *want* a package ofc, which you may not.
