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Labour, with with a minority.

3 (8.3%)

Labour majority.

1 (2.8%)

Conservative with minority

7 (19.4%)

Conservative with majority.

22 (61.1%)

Monster Raving Looney Party

3 (8.3%)

Total Members Voted: 31

Voting closed: 09 June 2017, 10:40:51

[tunnie]

Time for a poll, I shall add it in a moment.

[tunnie]

I personally think Labour have small pockets of very loud left wing support, I think UKIP going to Conservative, traditional Labour not voting for Corbyn because he does not represent them and lastly the swing to Conservatives for Brexit.

So I'm going for conservative win and hoping this is true....

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2017/06/labour-reckoning

[Migv6 le Frog Fan]

Because I'm sad and need to get out more, my idea of fun a fortnight ago was to write on a piece of paper how many seats I thought the parties would get.

Tories - currently on 330. Will go up to 397
Labour - currently on 232. Will drop to 168
Libdems - currently on 8. Will rise to 17
SNP -  currently on 56. Will drop to 44
P. Cymru - currently on 0. Will stay on 0
UKIP - currently on 0. Will stay on 0

I'm much less confident of these figures than I was a fortnight ago, but we shall see. 

[Kevin Wood]

I think the outcome will be pretty much the current Status Quo.

The tories have completely and utterly failed to capitalise on the open goal they had when they called the election and, despite the total incompetence of the likes of Abbot, Labour have probably crawled back up from the doldrums they were looking likely to be in. The remainder of parties look like an irrelevance, really.

I suspect May won't have got the majority she wanted to drive through her Brexit plans unopposed, but at least she will probably end up with some sort of mandate.

In other words, it's all been pretty much a total waste of time.

It has exposed the quality of our current political class on both sides of the house, though, and that doesn't bode well at all.

[Doctor Gollum]

Unfortunately, the current system is a self serving closed shop... yes we get to vote for our councils and MPs, but ultimately to change the system it would need doing from the foundations up.

The only way this might have happened, would be to close Westminster and the Monarchy, and conceed EVERYTHING to Brussels.

Then, and only then could we have a meaningful revolution and the opportunity to start from scratch.

Be warned though... the new boss will be the same as the old boss

[Field Marshal Dr. Opti]

Because I'm sad and need to get out more, my idea of fun a fortnight ago was to write on a piece of paper how many seats I thought the parties would get.

Tories - currently on 330. Will go up to 397
Labour - currently on 232. Will drop to 168
Libdems - currently on 8. Will rise to 17
SNP -  currently on 56. Will drop to 44
P. Cymru - currently on 0. Will stay on 0
UKIP - currently on 0. Will stay on 0

I'm much less confident of these figures than I was a fortnight ago, but we shall see. 

Thirty years ago your idea of fun would have been how many girls you were going to inseminate on Saturday night and how you would 'lose' the cops in your Chevette 2300HS.

Growing old is no fun.  

[Lizzie Zoom]

Because I'm sad and need to get out more, my idea of fun a fortnight ago was to write on a piece of paper how many seats I thought the parties would get.

Tories - currently on 330. Will go up to 397
Labour - currently on 232. Will drop to 168
Libdems - currently on 8. Will rise to 17
SNP -  currently on 56. Will drop to 44
P. Cymru - currently on 0. Will stay on 0
UKIP - currently on 0. Will stay on 0

I'm much less confident of these figures than I was a fortnight ago, but we shall see. 

Thirty years ago your idea of fun would have been how many girls you were going to inseminate on Saturday night and how you would 'lose' the cops in tour Chevette 2300HS.

Growing old is no fun.

Too much info Opti!!    No mention of Love?
 

[Doctor Gollum]

To misqoute the immortal Billy Connolly"Men need to have sex to feel loved, and women need to feel loved in order to have sex. We're all oppsed"

 

[Migv6 le Frog Fan]

Because I'm sad and need to get out more, my idea of fun a fortnight ago was to write on a piece of paper how many seats I thought the parties would get.

Tories - currently on 330. Will go up to 397
Labour - currently on 232. Will drop to 168
Libdems - currently on 8. Will rise to 17
SNP -  currently on 56. Will drop to 44
P. Cymru - currently on 0. Will stay on 0
UKIP - currently on 0. Will stay on 0

I'm much less confident of these figures than I was a fortnight ago, but we shall see. 

Thirty years ago your idea of fun would have been how many girls you were going to inseminate on Saturday night and how you would 'lose' the cops in your Chevette 2300HS.

Growing old is no fun.

You really did know me, didn't you. 
The cops never caught me in that btw. They tried, many times. but they never got me. 
Previously though, when I was riding bikes. They caught almost me every time I left the house. 13 convictions in two years. 

[Doctor Gollum]

And we still let you in... do they learn nothing

 

[Lizzie Zoom]

To misqoute the immortal Billy Connolly"Men need to have sex to feel loved, and women need to feel loved in order to have sex. We're all oppsed"

 

Tell me about it!!

[Varche]

I voted minority for Conservatives.

On various other forums I am picking up that voting may well be influenced by Brexit. For example. Die hard Tory voter that voted Remain, will vote Labour because of Tory dogma on Brexit. Wouldn't surprise me if Labour won. The polls are full of fickle folk (like The Boy) who admit they say one thing but vote the other. Hence why they aren't right anymore.

Another factor many of us are blissfully unaware of is the very effective behind the scenes campaigning via social media.

[Migv6 le Frog Fan]

Weather man says dry in the south tomorrow and a lot of rain up north. This will help the Tories.

[Doctor Gollum]

I voted minority for Conservatives.

On various other forums I am picking up that voting may well be influenced by Brexit. For example. Die hard Tory voter that voted Remain, will vote Labour because of Tory dogma on Brexit. Wouldn't surprise me if Labour won. The polls are full of fickle folk (like The Boy) who admit they say one thing but vote the other. Hence why they aren't right anymore.

Another factor many of us are blissfully unaware of is the very effective behind the scenes campaigning via social media.

Why on earth would a die hard Tory have voted remain

[tunnie]

Don't know why but I'm really interested in the numbers in this election, much hype has been put in BBC and on social media of an 'extra one million voters' which are, apparently, going to swing this election. But the BBC has listed the top 10 seats which have seen the biggest increases. I've gone through and look at who holds these seats and by how much:

Leeds NW - LIB (36%) vs 30% Labour
Bethnal Green and Bow - LAB 61%
Poplar & Limehouse - LAB 58%
Leeds Central - LAB 55%
Wolverhampton SE - LAB 55%
Bristol West - LAB 35%, Green 26%.
Brighton Pavilion - Green 41%, LAB 27
Canterbury - CON 42.9%, LAB 24%
Tooting - LAB 55%
Bath - CON 37%, LIB 29%, LAB 13%

Source: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2017-40178571

6 of the 10 are already safe Labour seats, so increase of 5/10/15%  in these seats makes sod all difference to the election. (assuming LAB support) - But for the ones Labour don't hold: Canterbury had 53k turn out, BBC reports 10% increase here. So 5.3k extra votes, but the majority by the CON's is  9.7k. (this is without a UKIP switch to CON)

Similar with Brighton, which is a heavy green hold and increase could not alter the green majority. (assuming green's keep their vote)

So Labour could only take from what I can see Leeds North West, these extra votes don't appear to be in the seats Labour need to save.