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Chat Area => General Discussion Area => Topic started by: STEMO on 18 June 2016, 08:08:37

Title: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: STEMO on 18 June 2016, 08:08:37
It's nearly upon us (thank god) and it will soon be all over. If I want a real indication of what the likely outcome of something is, I never take much notice of the various arguments, I check the bookies' sites.
On Tuesday, the average price for remain was 4/6, quite a strong favourite. This morning it is 1/2, almost a certainty. The odd thing, I think, is that over 88% of bets placed have been for leave. That must say something about human nature, or the demographic of the leave voter, but I'm not sure what.

https://m.oddschecker.com/t/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Steve B on 18 June 2016, 12:10:01
So the poll's are moving towards leave yet the bookmakers think the other way  :-\
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 18 June 2016, 13:54:29
It's nearly upon us (thank god) and it will soon be all over. If I want a real indication of what the likely outcome of something is, I never take much notice of the various arguments, I check the bookies' sites.
On Tuesday, the average price for remain was 4/6, quite a strong favourite. This morning it is 1/2, almost a certainty. The odd thing, I think, is that over 88% of bets placed have been for leave. That must say something about human nature, or the demographic of the leave voter, but I'm not sure what.

https://m.oddschecker.com/t/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result

Perhaps some people are confusing the turf accountant with a polling booth. ::) ::) ;)
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: amazonian on 18 June 2016, 16:15:11
Last week on Betfair you could have got just under 3/1 for exit, now its just under 2/1.
For remain it was 1/2 and that is unchanged.

In spite of the polls and in spite of the fact that no less than  £36,000,000 has been bet on Betfair there seems little correlation between the polls and the betting.
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: korum on 18 June 2016, 18:03:02
Maybe it's down to the fact that even if we vote out they think the government won't actually see it through and we end up staying anyway.
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Steve B on 18 June 2016, 22:57:14
He about sums it all up  ;D ;D ;D ;D

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGC5S3ag1q0
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Mister Rog on 19 June 2016, 10:34:05
He about sums it all up  ;D ;D ;D ;D

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGC5S3ag1q0


Just great  :y    :y
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: STEMO on 19 June 2016, 13:02:12
He about sums it all up  ;D ;D ;D ;D

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGC5S3ag1q0
Love it  ;D ;D ;D
Why have I never seen Jonathan Pie before  :-\
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 19 June 2016, 13:44:53
Entertaining if nothing else.

I hoped it would end up with JP bending the gobby make-up girl over the desk. :)
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: STEMO on 20 June 2016, 12:12:47
Remain now 1/4 on average with bookies. Everyone reckons 'stay' is, more or less, a cert. Markets up about 3% this morning on news of the latest polls.
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: STEMO on 20 June 2016, 12:14:52
Banks up 6-7%. They really are certain these polls are correct.  :-\
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Migv6 le Frog Fan on 20 June 2016, 12:50:23
Baroness Warsi has just announced that she will not be running in the womens 4x 100m hurdles at the Olympics.  ;D
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: STEMO on 20 June 2016, 12:51:23
Baroness Warsi has just announced that she will not be running in the womens 4x 100m hurdles at the Olympics.  ;D
Nor be the first Asian woman in space.  ;D
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Steve B on 20 June 2016, 16:54:26
Remain now 1/4 on average with bookies. Everyone reckons 'stay' is, more or less, a cert. Markets up about 3% this morning on news of the latest polls.
And Leave ?
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: STEMO on 20 June 2016, 17:15:35
Remain now 1/4 on average with bookies. Everyone reckons 'stay' is, more or less, a cert. Markets up about 3% this morning on news of the latest polls.
And Leave ?
Look at the link, lazy arse.  :P
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Steve B on 20 June 2016, 17:26:10
Remain now 1/4 on average with bookies. Everyone reckons 'stay' is, more or less, a cert. Markets up about 3% this morning on news of the latest polls.
And Leave ?
Look at the link, lazy arse.  :P
had to scroll all that way back to the top of page    :-X

If they are so sure its a Stay...Why are the odds not better for leave  :-\
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: ted_one on 20 June 2016, 17:28:28
In all of the  arguments,there seems little mention of the trillions of pounds of debt that this country has......a recent update confirms that in real terms it is 4.8 Trillion pounds, and that equals to £78.000 per person.....umm ::) 5th richest economy in the world...load of old 'dangle berries'.
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: STEMO on 20 June 2016, 17:35:19
Remain now 1/4 on average with bookies. Everyone reckons 'stay' is, more or less, a cert. Markets up about 3% this morning on news of the latest polls.
And Leave ?
Look at the link, lazy arse.  :P
had to scroll all that way back to the top of page    :-X

If they are so sure ita a Stay...Why are the odds not better for leave  :-\
They do seem a bit short.
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: ted_one on 20 June 2016, 19:09:43
Only 11 of the 28 EU members are putting money in, Germany No1 and the good old  UK No2 ::) and guess who are the biggest takers? Poland and of course Greece!!  makes no sense at all,but good ole Dave will convince you that all's well and stick with him and you'll be O.K......words like smell and coffee come to mind ::) It won't be him that's going to be picking up the pieces when it all goes tits up,he'll be like Bliar and Brown....doing the after dinner speech circuits at 5 grand + a pop...W.....RS! the politicians don't give a toss about us...only what's in their back pockets ::)
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: ronnyd on 20 June 2016, 19:15:29
If the vote result is for staying in will the EU Commissioners then, over a period of time, then bring in a raft of new measures that we have not be informed about. :-\
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: ted_one on 20 June 2016, 19:29:39
That's trying to make the blind see...think it's called a miracle....but reality will make it happen,but of course by then, we'll be in deeeeep EU doo doo :o but as they say ''I'm all right Jack'' it's the others that won't be ::)
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Steve B on 20 June 2016, 20:27:56
it is going to be OUT  :y  Ignore the polls and bookmakers
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: STEMO on 20 June 2016, 20:30:26
it is going to be OUT  :y  Ignore the polls and bookmakers
D'yer wanna bet?
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Steve B on 20 June 2016, 21:04:53
yes
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: STEMO on 20 June 2016, 21:11:31
yes
Well....you know the odds, go on.
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Steve B on 20 June 2016, 21:17:04
Done mark jarvis last thursday 11/4
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: STEMO on 20 June 2016, 21:25:20
Done mark jarvis last thursday 11/4
Good luck  :y
Title: Re: Don't listen to 'in' or 'out' campaigners
Post by: Steve B on 26 June 2016, 23:46:06
Well ive been down to mark jarvis and collected what i won  :y But now ive changed my mind...Cos it is going to be a Stay in the EU....How do i bet on that one then  :-\