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Chat Area => General Discussion Area => Topic started by: olm on 11 December 2021, 02:38:10

Title: future ban combustion cars
Post by: olm on 11 December 2021, 02:38:10
Hello, I wanted to know the opinion you have about this, increasingly closer law. I am in Spain where the sale ban will be in 2035, but I think it will be there in 2030, which is very shortly, what do you and the people in general think? What are you planning to do with your omegas? I read you
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Doctor Gollum on 11 December 2021, 02:56:24
The proposed ban is for the sale of NEW ic vehicles not existing ones, so I wouldn't panic just yet ;)
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Nick W on 11 December 2021, 08:36:05
Hello, I wanted to know the opinion you have about this, increasingly closer law. I am in Spain where the sale ban will be in 2035, but I think it will be there in 2030, which is very shortly, what do you and the people in general think? What are you planning to do with your omegas? I read you


In 2030 the youngest Omega**** will be almost 30 years old. A ban on new ICE cars won't affect it at all.


Any such ban won't suddenly make the millions of ICE vehicles already in use turn into pumpkins at midnight.






**** there's a pretty good chance it will be the only Omega
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Varche on 11 December 2021, 09:01:47
I still see plenty of Omegas on the roads here in Spain. I think the climate and the open roads suit them!
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Sir Tigger KC on 11 December 2021, 11:25:23
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: dave the builder on 11 December 2021, 11:27:03
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)
As will the cost of petrol
Oh wait  :-[
it already is doing  :(
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Mr Skrunts on 11 December 2021, 11:50:46
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)
As will the cost of petrol
Oh wait  :-[
it already is doing  :(

They are taking the P*** with fuel prices, at one point during lockdown prices dropped to .99p per litre. last time I was out they were 1.42 local to me, not sure what they are at the moment. :-\

The down side with the higher prices it affects most areas through the UK and prices rise due to blameing transpotation costs. :-X

Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Nick W on 11 December 2021, 11:57:35
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)


Why, who would buy one? It's much more likely that the people who normally buy a dealer trade-in or other newish used car every few years will just hold on to their existing, hard to replace car for some time. My prediction is that the price of most used cars will drop dramatically, except for the distress purchase cheapies.


Just look at what the introduction of the LEZ did to used truck prices in the south east; a friend who was retiring had to sell his fleet in the north to get anywhere near what they had been worth only six months earlier, yet deals on new vehicles disappeared overnight.
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Migv6 le Frog Fan on 11 December 2021, 12:02:01
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)


Why, who would buy one? It's much more likely that the people who normally buy a dealer trade-in or other newish used car every few years will just hold on to their existing, hard to replace car for some time. My prediction is that the price of most used cars will drop dramatically, except for the distress purchase cheapies.


Just look at what the introduction of the LEZ did to used truck prices in the south east; a friend who was retiring had to sell his fleet in the north to get anywhere near what they had been worth only six months earlier, yet deals on new vehicles disappeared overnight.

The same type of people who pay through the nose for a nice old pocket watch, or grandfather clock now. Despite the fact there is no real practical use for either any more. We just need to look at our phone if we want to know what the time is.
Its about the appreciation of nice quality items for their own sake, nostalgia, and of course investment.
When things become scarce, but people still appreciate them , values rise.
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Sir Tigger KC on 11 December 2021, 12:47:35
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)


Why, who would buy one? It's much more likely that the people who normally buy a dealer trade-in or other newish used car every few years will just hold on to their existing, hard to replace car for some time. My prediction is that the price of most used cars will drop dramatically, except for the distress purchase cheapies.


Just look at what the introduction of the LEZ did to used truck prices in the south east; a friend who was retiring had to sell his fleet in the north to get anywhere near what they had been worth only six months earlier, yet deals on new vehicles disappeared overnight.

Maybe you're right Nick.  :y

Maybe electric cars will come along in leaps and bounds in the next 9 years and they will be as good, if not better than an ICE car and the prices of a new EV will be comparable to a new ICE car.  Maybe not.  :-\

Maybe the government and power companies will install sufficient generating capacity to cope with the massive increase in demand for electricity in the next 9 years. Maybe not.  :-\

My prediction that we will be nowhere near ready for a mass switch to EV's in 2030, and all the people who would have normally bought a new car, will hang on to their current ICE car or will buy a young low mileage second hand ICE car instead. Hence increased demand for second hand ICE cars and and increase in prices due to a dwindling supply of good cars.  :)
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Lizzie Zoom on 11 December 2021, 13:46:25
All I know is that my Omega MUST be kept going for the rest of my driving / general life! ;D ;D ;D ;)
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: STEMO on 11 December 2021, 14:48:50
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)


Why, who would buy one? It's much more likely that the people who normally buy a dealer trade-in or other newish used car every few years will just hold on to their existing, hard to replace car for some time. My prediction is that the price of most used cars will drop dramatically, except for the distress purchase cheapies.


Just look at what the introduction of the LEZ did to used truck prices in the south east; a friend who was retiring had to sell his fleet in the north to get anywhere near what they had been worth only six months earlier, yet deals on new vehicles disappeared overnight.

Maybe you're right Nick.  :y

Maybe electric cars will come along in leaps and bounds in the next 9 years and they will be as good, if not better than an ICE car and the prices of a new EV will be comparable to a new ICE car.  Maybe not.  :-\

Maybe the government and power companies will install sufficient generating capacity to cope with the massive increase in demand for electricity in the next 9 years. Maybe not.  :-\

My prediction that we will be nowhere near ready for a mass switch to EV's in 2030, and all the people who would have normally bought a new car, will hang on to their current ICE car or will buy a young low mileage second hand ICE car instead. Hence increased demand for second hand ICE cars and and increase in prices due to a dwindling supply of good cars.  :)
For every 42 EV's sold this year there was one additional public charging point.
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Lizzie Zoom on 11 December 2021, 14:50:51
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)


Why, who would buy one? It's much more likely that the people who normally buy a dealer trade-in or other newish used car every few years will just hold on to their existing, hard to replace car for some time. My prediction is that the price of most used cars will drop dramatically, except for the distress purchase cheapies.


Just look at what the introduction of the LEZ did to used truck prices in the south east; a friend who was retiring had to sell his fleet in the north to get anywhere near what they had been worth only six months earlier, yet deals on new vehicles disappeared overnight.

Maybe you're right Nick.  :y

Maybe electric cars will come along in leaps and bounds in the next 9 years and they will be as good, if not better than an ICE car and the prices of a new EV will be comparable to a new ICE car.  Maybe not.  :-\

Maybe the government and power companies will install sufficient generating capacity to cope with the massive increase in demand for electricity in the next 9 years. Maybe not.  :-\

My prediction that we will be nowhere near ready for a mass switch to EV's in 2030, and all the people who would have normally bought a new car, will hang on to their current ICE car or will buy a young low mileage second hand ICE car instead. Hence increased demand for second hand ICE cars and and increase in prices due to a dwindling supply of good cars.  :)
For every 42 EV's sold this year there was one additional public charging point.

Yes, and that makes it all an absolute nonsense!
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Nick W on 11 December 2021, 15:24:40
How many petrol stations were there 100 years ago?


EVs were about 7% of the new car market in 2020, and are expected to be 16% in 2021. Which will be more than diesels. Those numbers are only going to increase in the next 9 years.


That will, if it hasn't already, mean that chargers will become a market that's worth spending a lot of money on. They are considerably easier to install than a filling station
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Migv6 le Frog Fan on 11 December 2021, 15:38:21
Got plenty of chargers at work - for those who can afford to buy the contraptions. Obviously this doe not include me.  :)
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: STEMO on 11 December 2021, 16:01:18
How many petrol stations were there 100 years ago?


EVs were about 7% of the new car market in 2020, and are expected to be 16% in 2021. Which will be more than diesels. Those numbers are only going to increase in the next 9 years.


That will, if it hasn't already, mean that chargers will become a market that's worth spending a lot of money on. They are considerably easier to install than a filling station
You do talk shite sometimes  ;D
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: STEMO on 11 December 2021, 16:04:41
I underestimated, it's one for every 52

https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/cars/article-10258457/Electric-car-sales-accelerating-far-faster-public-chargers.html
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 11 December 2021, 16:25:37
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)

Like used sports mopeds (capable of 60 MPH ) in 1977, when new mopeds where restricted to 35 MPH.
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 11 December 2021, 16:30:03
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)


Why, who would buy one? It's much more likely that the people who normally buy a dealer trade-in or other newish used car every few years will just hold on to their existing, hard to replace car for some time. My prediction is that the price of most used cars will drop dramatically, except for the distress purchase cheapies.


Just look at what the introduction of the LEZ did to used truck prices in the south east; a friend who was retiring had to sell his fleet in the north to get anywhere near what they had been worth only six months earlier, yet deals on new vehicles disappeared overnight.

Maybe you're right Nick.  :y

Maybe electric cars will come along in leaps and bounds in the next 9 years and they will be as good, if not better than an ICE car and the prices of a new EV will be comparable to a new ICE car.  Maybe not.  :-\

Maybe the government and power companies will install sufficient generating capacity to cope with the massive increase in demand for electricity in the next 9 years. Maybe not.  :-\

My prediction that we will be nowhere near ready for a mass switch to EV's in 2030, and all the people who would have normally bought a new car, will hang on to their current ICE car or will buy a young low mileage second hand ICE car instead. Hence increased demand for second hand ICE cars and and increase in prices due to a dwindling supply of good cars.  :)
For every 42 EV's sold this year there was one additional public charging point.

Half of which don't work. :-\
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 11 December 2021, 16:34:05
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)


Why, who would buy one? It's much more likely that the people who normally buy a dealer trade-in or other newish used car every few years will just hold on to their existing, hard to replace car for some time. My prediction is that the price of most used cars will drop dramatically, except for the distress purchase cheapies.


Just look at what the introduction of the LEZ did to used truck prices in the south east; a friend who was retiring had to sell his fleet in the north to get anywhere near what they had been worth only six months earlier, yet deals on new vehicles disappeared overnight.

The same type of people who pay through the nose for a nice old pocket watch, or grandfather clock now. Despite the fact there is no real practical use for either any more. We just need to look at our phone if we want to know what the time is.
Its about the appreciation of nice quality items for their own sake, nostalgia, and of course investment.
When things become scarce, but people still appreciate them , values rise.


Albitz has a point.

Beautiful classic cars won't suddenly become junk in 2030.

They will probably become even more desirable as time goes by and numbers decrease. :y
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: olm on 12 December 2021, 10:37:47
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)
As will the cost of petrol
Oh wait  :-[
it already is doing  :(

That is the question. High fuel prices, emission taxes, traffic bans ...
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: dave the builder on 12 December 2021, 11:36:31
I'd imagine that prices of good low mileage, second hand cars will rise steeply after 2030.  ::)
As will the cost of petrol
Oh wait  :-[
it already is doing  :(

That is the question. High fuel prices, emission taxes, traffic bans ...
We are driving round in dirty, petrol guzzling ,Polluting ,19 year old cars though  ::)

(https://scontent-man2-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t39.30808-6/265847695_1976040335939818_5115898834463826930_n.jpg?_nc_cat=104&ccb=1-5&_nc_sid=dbeb18&_nc_ohc=FUuqXTnLmZMAX_r6Vie&_nc_ht=scontent-man2-1.xx&oh=4d046601565f2c6de70f5b1524e880bb&oe=61BA069E)

Oh wait  :-[
ZERO Carbon monoxide first pass ,Zero Hydrocarbons , ZERO Carbon monoxide at idle
that's the figures for the last 4 MOTs ,since I took ownership  :)
£340 RFL because of all that pollution  :P

Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Nick W on 12 December 2021, 11:59:54

Albitz has a point.

Beautiful classic cars won't suddenly become junk in 2030.

They will probably become even more desirable as time goes by and numbers decrease. :y


Even ordinary cars won't suddenly become junk. But they will depreciate quicker than we are used to. Bear in mind that by 2030 a lot more of the 3 to 10 year old used car market will be EVs compared to now, which will further reduce the value of ICE.


What will happen is that even older cars will become increasingly niche items just like say 60's and even earlier cars are now. The real market is when middle aged men(it's almost all men) have some spare cash to buy the cars from their childhoods - at 51 that's late 60's and 70's for me, which explains the recent high cost of Escorts - so the even older cars fall out of favour and the survivors tend to stabilise or even drop in value.
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 12 December 2021, 12:47:06

Albitz has a point.

Beautiful classic cars won't suddenly become junk in 2030.

They will probably become even more desirable as time goes by and numbers decrease. :y


Even ordinary cars won't suddenly become junk. But they will depreciate quicker than we are used to. Bear in mind that by 2030 a lot more of the 3 to 10 year old used car market will be EVs compared to now, which will further reduce the value of ICE.


What will happen is that even older cars will become increasingly niche items just like say 60's and even earlier cars are now. The real market is when middle aged men(it's almost all men) have some spare cash to buy the cars from their childhoods - at 51 that's late 60's and 70's for me, which explains the recent high cost of Escorts - so the even older cars fall out of favour and the survivors tend to stabilise or even drop in value.

Prices for a MK1 Escort twin cam or RS 1600 are crazy. I've seen £50,000 and above.

Even once ubiquitous dross like the Austin/Morris 1100/1300  and Cortina MK3 can fetch £10,000 for a good example.

Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 13 December 2021, 13:22:14

Albitz has a point.

Beautiful classic cars won't suddenly become junk in 2030.

They will probably become even more desirable as time goes by and numbers decrease. :y


Even ordinary cars won't suddenly become junk. But they will depreciate quicker than we are used to. Bear in mind that by 2030 a lot more of the 3 to 10 year old used car market will be EVs compared to now, which will further reduce the value of ICE.


What will happen is that even older cars will become increasingly niche items just like say 60's and even earlier cars are now. The real market is when middle aged men(it's almost all men) have some spare cash to buy the cars from their childhoods - at 51 that's late 60's and 70's for me, which explains the recent high cost of Escorts - so the even older cars fall out of favour and the survivors tend to stabilise or even drop in value.

Speaking of old cars from our childhood.....I still lust after a TR6.....Elan sprint......Maserati Bora and Ferrari Daytona. :)

Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Mr Skrunts on 13 December 2021, 13:41:58
Speaking of old cars from our childhood.....I still lust after a TR6.....Elan sprint......Maserati Bora and Ferrari Daytona. :)

I had a mate who put a Rover V8 in his TR6 and it sounded awsome.

Another mate had an Elan & tret it better than all of his kids. :y

Only place I ever saw a Bora was in a car show room :-\

One of my old bosses had a Daytona, I got taken for a ride in it on th M1 and realised it had bends in it that you had to slow down for. 8) ::) ::)


The good old days eh!! :y :y
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: TheBoy on 13 December 2021, 13:44:15
In reality, its rust that kills Omegas.  So very much a Northern Europe problem.

Southern European Omegas could have a long life :)
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 13 December 2021, 13:47:07
Speaking of old cars from our childhood.....I still lust after a TR6.....Elan sprint......Maserati Bora and Ferrari Daytona. :)

I had a mate who put a Rover V8 in his TR6 and it sounded awsome.

Another mate had an Elan & tret it better than all of his kids. :y

Only place I ever saw a Bora was in a car show room :-\

One of my old bosses had a Daytona, I got taken for a ride in it on th M1 and realised it had bends in it that you had to slow down for. 8) ::) ::)


The good old days eh!! :y :y

I could add a few more, Skruntie.

V12 E-Type
Gilbern Invader
AC 428
Lamborghini Espada.

Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: johnnydog on 13 December 2021, 16:47:32

Albitz has a point.

Beautiful classic cars won't suddenly become junk in 2030.

They will probably become even more desirable as time goes by and numbers decrease. :y


Even ordinary cars won't suddenly become junk. But they will depreciate quicker than we are used to. Bear in mind that by 2030 a lot more of the 3 to 10 year old used car market will be EVs compared to now, which will further reduce the value of ICE.


What will happen is that even older cars will become increasingly niche items just like say 60's and even earlier cars are now. The real market is when middle aged men(it's almost all men) have some spare cash to buy the cars from their childhoods - at 51 that's late 60's and 70's for me, which explains the recent high cost of Escorts - so the even older cars fall out of favour and the survivors tend to stabilise or even drop in value.

Prices for a MK1 Escort twin cam or RS 1600 are crazy. I've seen £50,000 and above.

Even once ubiquitous dross like the Austin/Morris 1100/1300  and Cortina MK3 can fetch £10,000 for a good example.

Talking of the value of classic Fords, which have always been relatively high in recent years, along with the price of original nos parts - how about this for a low mileage Cortina.... :o

https://youtu.be/Rg8kdhXKF5w
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: cam.in.head on 13 December 2021, 16:59:20
wow thats a find for someone. will probably go for a good price.
shame its been badly stored over the years and has a hell of a lot of surface rust which will be present everywhere .might not even have a free engine ? but like he says its a brand new unused old stock car. where would you find another ? what would you do with it ? totally strip it and blast the shell and repaint or leave "as is" ?
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 13 December 2021, 17:15:46
If it were a Mk1 Lotus Cortina complete with the green flash then...... :y :y :y
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 13 December 2021, 17:21:38
https://youtu.be/rB8HWK5a9zQ (https://youtu.be/rB8HWK5a9zQ)

Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Sir Tigger KC on 13 December 2021, 17:42:10
https://youtu.be/rB8HWK5a9zQ (https://youtu.be/rB8HWK5a9zQ)

"On the downside it didn't stop properly and had very little grip!"   ;D
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Field Marshal Dr. Opti on 13 December 2021, 18:53:35
https://youtu.be/rB8HWK5a9zQ (https://youtu.be/rB8HWK5a9zQ)

"On the downside it didn't stop properly and had very little grip!"   ;D

Back in the sixties this was the norm......so quite safe(ish) :y
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Mr Skrunts on 13 December 2021, 21:10:32
https://youtu.be/rB8HWK5a9zQ (https://youtu.be/rB8HWK5a9zQ)

"On the downside it didn't stop properly and had very little grip!"   ;D

Fun to drive then. ::)
Title: Re: future ban combustion cars
Post by: Sir Tigger KC on 13 December 2021, 22:26:06
https://youtu.be/rB8HWK5a9zQ (https://youtu.be/rB8HWK5a9zQ)

"On the downside it didn't stop properly and had very little grip!"   ;D

Back in the sixties this was the norm......so quite safe(ish) :y

I'm far too young to know this.  :)