Omega Owners Forum

Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length
Advanced search  

News:

Welcome to OOF

Show Posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Messages - LC0112G

Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ... 170
1
General Discussion Area / Re: Iberia Blackout
« on: 28 April 2025, 20:59:34 »
There have been numerous power outages worldwide over the years caused by solar storms. IIRC there was one in Canada and parts of New York State back in 1989.

Occams Razor and all that.

2
General Discussion Area / Re: What has P*ssed you off today?
« on: 12 April 2025, 11:49:50 »
Bald men in the barbers shop. How the AF can it take 45 minutes to run the razor over their scalp once or twice. I swear my hair grew at least a cm longer by the time I got into the chair.

3
General Discussion Area / Re: What has P*ssed you off today?
« on: 10 April 2025, 11:01:59 »
It's actually better than my maths, because you won't get the whole £12K/£9.6K on day one to put in the bank for a year. You'll get 12 monthly payments of £800. The first £800 will earn 4% interest for 12 months, the second £800 for 11 months, the third £800 for 10 months etc, etc and the final £800 for one month. Therefore, whilst the headline APR interest rate on your saved pension monies might be 4%, the actual interest earned will only be half that - averaging out at about 2%, so the 'lump sum' will only have about £192 interest added to it at the end of the first year, making a total of £9792.

The payback is then (9792/696), or 14.07 years.

Whilst Stemo might like a bird in the hand, it's no good if you pluck, stuff, and roast for an hour to make a meal. Give a man a fish and he eats for a day. Teach a man to fish and he becomes alcoholic. Or something like that.

Makes sense. Although as Im planning to work for four years after pensionable age,  through years 2,3,4 the figures will tip the balance to a degree in the other direction as the money accumulates ?
The state pension and probably tax thresholds will also change through that period too.

According to this calculator ....https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/savings/regular-savings-calculator/ ... if you save £800 per month for 4 years at a 4% APR interest rate, you'd end up with a pot of £41644 (including £3244 interest). This assumes you don't have to pay tax on the interest - you're only allowed £1K interest per year tax free.

If you defer for 4 years, your £12K pension would be increased to £15036 per year. (£12K * (5.8% ^ 4))

So the choices would be £41644 lump sum plus £12K p/a pension for life, or no lump sum and £15036 p/a pension for life. The payoff period is (41644 / (15036-12000)) = 13.71 years, so you'd be 83.7 years old when you broke even.

Impossible to predict future tax thresholds, allowances and rates, but you should note that while the (scam of!) the pension triple lock exists, it's basically guaranteed the SP will increase faster than inflation and savings interest rates. Sooner or later the triple lock will have to be changed, modified or scrapped, but for the time being it's still in place.

4
General Discussion Area / Re: What has P*ssed you off today?
« on: 10 April 2025, 09:31:48 »
It's actually better than my maths, because you won't get the whole £12K/£9.6K on day one to put in the bank for a year. You'll get 12 monthly payments of £800. The first £800 will earn 4% interest for 12 months, the second £800 for 11 months, the third £800 for 10 months etc, etc and the final £800 for one month. Therefore, whilst the headline APR interest rate on your saved pension monies might be 4%, the actual interest earned will only be half that - averaging out at about 2%, so the 'lump sum' will only have about £192 interest added to it at the end of the first year, making a total of £9792.

The payback is then (9792/696), or 14.07 years.

Whilst Stemo might like a bird in the hand, it's no good if you pluck, stuff, and roast for an hour to make a meal. Give a man a fish and he eats for a day. Teach a man to fish and he becomes alcoholic. Or something like that.


5
General Discussion Area / Re: What has P*ssed you off today?
« on: 09 April 2025, 23:22:49 »
My state pension age is 66, which is 28th October this year.
That aside, Im a bit lost now. State pension is currently £12000 pa (within a few quid). If I pay 20% tax on it, I make that approx. £9500.
I dont understand where the £7600 figure comes from.

Full state pension is £12K ish. I have no idea if you're getting the full amount, or some lesser amount. Plus I misread your example as meaning your predicted SP would be £9500, not the full £12K.

However, the maths still holds - the payback for a single years deferral is still about 14 years. Example...

You take SP of £12K at 66, pay 20% tax on it (so you actually receive £9600), stick it in the bank at 4%, and at 67 you have a SP of £12K p/a, plus a "lump sum" in the bank of £9984.

Defer for a year, then at 67 you have a SP of £12696 p/a, and no "lump sum" - a gain of £696 p/a for life.

The payback is therefore (£9984/£696) 14.34 years, so you have to live to 80.34 years old to 'win'.




6
General Discussion Area / Re: What has P*ssed you off today?
« on: 09 April 2025, 22:48:16 »
Your state pension, from November, is almost £12,000. That will be taxable if you carry on working, of course. But, still, it's a nice bonus.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but if you carry on working whilst in receipt of the state pension, then surely it's your employment pay (and any private / work pension / income over the tax free allowance) that is taxed, not your state pension?

Yes - sort of. What happens is your personal allowance is reduced by the amount of your state pension. Your employer will receive a new tax code for you to reflect this, and you'll end up paying tax on £12K (or whatever your SP is) more of your salary.
Whenever I had two jobs, the second one was always taxed/NI paid on the full amount keeping the allowances on the primary job. HMRC are actually pretty good in this regard as they will allocate the allowances as you request.

Not sure if this would apply to a state pension though as you would be presumed to be at least semi retired so being retired would be your primary income.

Yes, that's how it works with the SP. The SP is effectively treated as your 'primary job' and gets first crack at your personal allowance.  If you are still working then your first 'real job' only gets whatever the difference between your state pension and your personal allowance is. Any second, third or fourth 'real job' would basically get zero personal allowance.

The same thing happens with personal/occupational pensions. The state pension gets first dibbs on your personal allowance, then typically one other pension gets the remainder of your personal allowance, and any second/third/fourth personal/occupational pensions get zero allowance.

7
General Discussion Area / Re: What has P*ssed you off today?
« on: 09 April 2025, 22:33:23 »
Your state pension, from November, is almost £12,000. That will be taxable if you carry on working, of course. But, still, it's a nice bonus.

I will be taxed on mine as Im still working, but yes a nice bonus to build up reserves with.
Swmbo is currently 12 years short of NIC,s for her state pension, but we are in the process of buying them , so she will also get full state pension untaxed from June 2028.

You don't have to take your State Pension at 67. You can defer it. If you continue to work past your normal State Pension Age then this can be very good value.

https://www.gov.uk/deferring-state-pension/what-you-get

The amount that is then paid out when you do take it will have increased by 5.8% per year of deferral. I haven't done the sums recently, but if you are in good health (you expect to live for > 10 years) the conventional wisdom was that it's best to defer by between 3 and 5 years, which would result in about a 33% increase in your state pension - about £15900 p/a.

Of course, you could die before you break even - but them's the breaks.

Im not sure it would be wise to defer it. Even though I will effectively pay 20% tax on it.
Lets say I save £9500 of it p.a.( after tax figure)  and get say 4% interest p.a. That has to be better than deferring it and getting the 5.8 % interest but not putting £9500 in the bank for the four years Im planning on working after I start claiming it ? *
I should add, I will still be below the 40% threshold when everything is added up.

Also, I will stop having to pay NIC once I reach state retirement age, in either scenario which will be nice.

Edit * Actually, having thought about it, that will depend on how long I live. At some point there will be a crossover, where I would have been better off deferring.
Maybe stick with my plan and get swmbo to defer hers, so covering both bases ?

If you take your SP at 67 but continue to work, then due to tax (at 20%) you'll not receive an 'extra' £9500 - it'll effectively only be an extra £7600. Stick that in the bank at 4% for a year (and resist the temptation to pi55 it up the wall) and at 68 you'll have a cash lump sum of £7904, and an annual state pension of £9500.

If you defer for 1 year, then at 68 your annual state pension would be £10051 - so £551 more per year, but no lump sum.

The break even point is a further 14 years (£7904/£551) - so you would need to live to 82 for the gamble to pay off. Die the day after you claim your SP (at 68 and one day) then you're £7900 down. Live to 100 and you'd be quids in.

Not saying it's right for everyone, but it's an option to consider if you intend to continue working past state pension age.

8
General Discussion Area / Re: What has P*ssed you off today?
« on: 09 April 2025, 20:42:06 »
Your state pension, from November, is almost £12,000. That will be taxable if you carry on working, of course. But, still, it's a nice bonus.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but if you carry on working whilst in receipt of the state pension, then surely it's your employment pay (and any private / work pension / income over the tax free allowance) that is taxed, not your state pension?

Yes - sort of. What happens is your personal allowance is reduced by the amount of your state pension. Your employer will receive a new tax code for you to reflect this, and you'll end up paying tax on £12K (or whatever your SP is) more of your salary.

9
General Discussion Area / Re: What has P*ssed you off today?
« on: 09 April 2025, 20:38:29 »
Your state pension, from November, is almost £12,000. That will be taxable if you carry on working, of course. But, still, it's a nice bonus.

I will be taxed on mine as Im still working, but yes a nice bonus to build up reserves with.
Swmbo is currently 12 years short of NIC,s for her state pension, but we are in the process of buying them , so she will also get full state pension untaxed from June 2028.

You don't have to take your State Pension at 67. You can defer it. If you continue to work past your normal State Pension Age then this can be very good value.

https://www.gov.uk/deferring-state-pension/what-you-get

The amount that is then paid out when you do take it will have increased by 5.8% per year of deferral. I haven't done the sums recently, but if you are in good health (you expect to live for > 10 years) the conventional wisdom was that it's best to defer by between 3 and 5 years, which would result in about a 33% increase in your state pension - about £15900 p/a.

Of course, you could die before you break even - but them's the breaks.

10
General Car Chat / Re: New tyres....
« on: 06 April 2025, 21:12:19 »
Almost all aircraft tyres are remoulds/re-treads - and some of them are rated to a lot higher speeds than any Omega will ever go - aside from driving off a cliff.

11
General Discussion Area / Re: Tariffs.
« on: 04 April 2025, 13:26:29 »
Interesting that  US 10 year Treasury Bond yields have tumbled from 4.8% in January to 3.95% currently, which saves the US taxpayer hundreds of millions in interest payments on America's massive debt pile of around $36.5 trillion.

The biggest drop has happened in the last week from 4.4%, probably as investors have dumped stocks and moved into 'safe haven' bonds instead.

That's not how bonds work. A 10y bond is sold by the govt with the promise it will pay a fixed amount of interest for 10 years. The amount of interest it pays on a bond is fixed - it does not go up or down with the markets, so it won't "save the US taxpayer hundreds of millions in interest payments on America's massive debt pile of around $36.5 trillion". Bonds already issued have to be paid at the issue rate.

As the owner of such a bond, you can sell it on for whatever they want. Say you paid $1 for the bond, and the govt promise to pay 10cents per year interest - effectively a 10% interest rate. If you sell it to a new owner, then the 10cents interest will be paid to the new owner. At the end of the 10 years the govt will pay the current owner their $1 back. It will therefore have cost the US treasury $2 to borrow $1 for 10 years.

If during the bond period you sell it to someone else for less than you paid (say 90 cents), the new owner will still receive the promised 10 cents interest, so the new owner effectively sees 11.1% interest, but the govt is still only paying out 10 cents. Similarly if you sell it for more than you paid (say $1.1) the new owner still receives the 10 cents interest, so the new owner effectively sees 9.09% interest, but the govt is still only paying out 10 cents.

The only time the govt is really bothered about the bond rate is if/when they are trying to sell NEW bonds. If you crash your economy then buyers of new bonds are going to want more interest before agreeing to give the govt any more money. The bond rate can therefore be seen as a measure of investor confidence in the countries economy.

The fact China holds huge amounts of US bonds is a problem for China, not the US, providing the US can continue to pay the initially agreed interest (which it always can by just printing money if required).

12
The rule of thumb is that any bolt where the tightening spec is X Nm plus Y degrees should not be re-used.

The reason is that the vast majority of bolts tightened this way will stretch past yield, meaning that they are permanently stretched/deformed - i.e. when you take them out they will be longer than when they first went in. A bolt can only be stretched so far before it shears off, and calculating how much stretch is allowed is a complex process. Therefore, it's best NOT to re-use them, especially if they are in a difficult to get at place, or are safety/failure critical. A secondary consideration is can you be sure how many times have the bolts already been re-used? Each re-use will use up some more of the total available "stretch"

It's true that most of the time you will 'get away with it' re-using bolts, and only you can decide whether it's worth the risk or not. In the words of Dirty Harry - "Do you feel lucky punk - do ya?"

13
General Discussion Area / Re: Ukraine peace deal
« on: 16 February 2025, 15:11:54 »
Fibre-optic drones, Oreshnik and Avangard hypersonic missiles, the air-launched Kinzhal glide missile, S-400 Triumph air defence system, Uran-9 unmanned ground vehicle, Su-57 and Su-35 advanced fighters etc, etc.

At the start of the war, Ukraine had no defence against any of those items - their forces were at least 30 years out of date. And worse they were 30 years out of date Russian equipment which is 10 years behind western tech anyway. They are now, slowly (too slowly IMHO) being equipped with (basically) 10 year old western fighters, tanks, missile defense systems etc and that has neutralised the majority of these threats. If they'd had this more modern stuff on day one, then we wouldn't be where we are now.

As for the rest of your post: the Russian army has gained thousands of volunteers, they do not conscript from prisons
False

At the start, Russia had no intention of capturing Kiev.
I'll call that false as well. No point in capturing Hostomol airport unless you intend to use it as an airborne bridgehead, supporting rolling tanks down from Belarus into Kiev. I believe they thought they could capture Kiev in 3 days, and after that the whole country would fall within a few weeks. When that didn't work, they had little option but to pull out the way they'd come in.

The truth is that Russia has been fighting NATO. Ukraine has been a proxy.
You can make the argument that they're fighting against NATO tech now, three years on, but not during the first days, weeks, months. They were on their own then.

14
General Discussion Area / Re: Bin Collections
« on: 05 February 2025, 09:41:05 »
For us in South Somerset....

Weekly, on a Wednesday ... Brown Bin = Food Waste, Blue Bin = Plastic & Tin Cans, Black Bin = Cardboard & Glass
2 Weekly, on a Tuesday ... Green Wheelie Bin = Garden Waste
3 Weekly, on a Wednesday ... Black Wheelie Bin = Everything else

Basically, driving home on a Monday and Tuesday night you have to look out for what colour bins the neighbors have put out, hope they've got it right, and copy them.

I suspect Bristol are talking about the Black wheelie bin going 4 weekly.

15
General Discussion Area / Re: Money Transfers (UK to US)
« on: 28 January 2025, 18:53:01 »
I use WISE to transfer cash to relatives in Australia - for things like birthday and Christmas presents.

If you are already in the country where the person lives, then a Halifax Clarity credit card (or similar) is best. You take the cash out of an ATM, and then pay the bill immediately it shows on your statement (typically a day or two). No FOREX loading, no charge, and interest of a few pennies as long as you pay off immediately.

Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ... 170

Page created in 0.014 seconds with 13 queries.