No, it won't be here sooner than I think, anymore than the robots I used to see on tomorrow's world.
Where I think it will happen first is HGV's, no driver's salary to pay, no paid legal rest periods, trucks that can drive absolutely optimally to conserve fuel based on load weight, incline, traffic conditions etc. There must be a fortune to be made/saved in Europe's road based economy. I think we'll end up only using humans to do the few miles between localised depots and shops/delivery addresses.
Ultimately I think that personal car ownership will fade away for the masses, but changing mindsets will take at least a generation or two I think. I reckon that the millennials will probably be the last generation for which personal car ownership is the norm.
Please god let you be right. No more lorries overtaking each other on dual carriageways. Heaven.
Yes there's no way that an auto-pilot won't base a decision on the speed differential, available performance, road space, required ETA and whether it has a pain in the diodes down its left side, and overtake a slightly slower moving vehicle in the 3/4 mile stretch of dual carriageway.
I share Kevin's opinion: self driving vehicles will require a massive change in the way that
everybody uses the roads, whether they are drivers, cyclists, pedestrians or wandering dogs. And that isn't going to happen any time soon. It would make every existing vehicle worthless, and there are too many vested interests to let
that happen. It's more likely that we make the rail network an affordable first choice for commuting and long distance travel, and if
that happens the Devil will skate to work.