Football always used to bore me to tears, up until the age of 32, which is when I was off work for a year after breaking my back/neck. I then started watching it through boredom (I don't have a team).
Once a week on a Saturday or Sunday morning, I will sometimes look at the fixtures with my cup of tea, and place a small bet on a match or two (tenner at most).
This Saturday, I placed an "accumulator" bet, where I made a number of selections which all have to happen to win the bet. It was a stupidly long shot bet, (£10 at odds of 75/1), including Arsenal and Brentford and West Ham / Chelsea to Score Draw on Saturday, and Man United to win yesterday.
To my amazement I logged in to check it this morning, and everything so far has won. The only remaining outcomes I need to win the £750, are Liverpool to win against Everton tonight, and over 8 corners in the game. I've also got the chance of going down the pub with a couple of lads to watch it, so this should make it fun!
The problem is, I am too much of a chicken to risk losing the potential of £750, BUT I can't cash out for some profit. The app says it's "unavailable".
So I am thinking of placing some "insurance" type bets on the potential range of other outcomes, to increase my chances of winning some profit, without risking any more money.
The alternative outcomes, are:
1) Liverpool win, under 9 corners (odds 5.04) = £100 returns £504
2) Everton or draw, over 8 corners (odds 2.93) = £100 returns £293
3) Everton or draw, under 9 corners (odds 6.52) = £100 returns £652
So - I could put all of those bets on, so whatever the outcome, I win something. As crazy as it sounds to "gamble" £310, the reality is, it's not a gamble, because
- If the main bet wins, I will still profit a total of £440
- Alternative outcome 1 means I will still profit a total of £194
- Alternative outcome 2 means I will lose £17, which isn't a life changing amount to lose.
- Alternative outcome 3 means I will profit £342.
What would you do?
A mate has suggested I could also wait and see if Liverpool score first / see how many corners there are in the first half, as it may significantly lengthen the odds for the "insurance bets".
Or shall I just go down the pub, shout at the TV and hope for the best. It was only a tenner, right?